Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence
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A Robust Independence Test for Constraint-Based Learning of Causal Structure
Denver Dash, Marek Druzdzel
Abstract:
Constraint-based (CB) learning is a formalism for learning a causal network with a database D by performing a series of conditional-independence tests to infer structural information. This paper considers a new test of independence that combines ideas from Bayesian learning, Bayesian network inference, and classical hypothesis testing to produce a more reliable and robust test. The new test can be calculated in the same asymptotic time and space required for the standard tests such as the chi-squared test, but it allows the specification of a prior distribution over parameters and can be used when the database is incomplete. We prove that the test is correct, and we demonstrate empirically that, when used with a CB causal discovery algorithm with noninformative priors, it recovers structural features more reliably and it produces networks with smaller KL-Divergence, especially as the number of nodes increases or the number of records decreases. Another benefit is the dramatic reduction in the probability that a CB algorithm will stall during the search, providing a remedy for an annoying problem plaguing CB learning when the database is small.
Keywords: Robust Independence Test Constraint Based Learning of Causal Structure
Pages: 167-174
PS Link: null
PDF Link: /papers/03/p167-dash.pdf
BibTex:
@INPROCEEDINGS{Dash03,
AUTHOR = "Denver Dash and Marek Druzdzel",
TITLE = "A Robust Independence Test for Constraint-Based Learning of Causal Structure",
BOOKTITLE = "Proceedings of the Nineteenth Conference Annual Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI-03)",
PUBLISHER = "Morgan Kaufmann",
ADDRESS = "San Francisco, CA",
YEAR = "2003",
PAGES = "167--174"
}


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